reLAKSation 217.

When will they ever learn?: After nearly two years of wrangling, first with the safeguard case and then with the current dumping complaint, the European salmon industry can look forward to five years of the MIP. This can be considered to be nothing more than a watered down version of the previous EU salmon agreement. The salmon agreement certainly didn’t solve the industries’ problems because if it had, then it would not have been subjected to these current measures. Clearly, no-one has learnt from the experiences of 1996.

Certainly, the hardcore Scottish producers who form the quasi-EUSPG have learnt nothing from their repeated attempts to protect their own industry from external competition. They still must believe that the only way to persuade consumers that Scottish salmon is special and something worth paying more for is to ensure that they should be the only suppliers to large swathes of the European market. They believe that it is easier to try excluding foreign competition from the marketplace than having to invest in the type of marketing necessary to convince consumers to dig deeper into their pockets. These blinkered Scottish minority have also argued that their salmon is distinct from cheap foreign imports because it is of a much higher quality and therefore deserving of a higher price. They say that it is not the same product. Yet, when consumers actively choose to buy the cheaper foreign imports, the Scots claim that foreign producers are dumping salmon into Europe and disrupting their markets. When will these EUSPG members learn that the supermarkets are simply reacting to what consumers actually want and buying in cheaper foreign salmon to meet this demand. If consumers wanted high priced, high quality Scottish salmon, then they would buy it. The EUSPG need to learn that they cannot use the European Commission to force consumers to buy their salmon.

However, it is not just the Scots that need to learn from these dumping complaints. The Norwegians also need to learn how to successfully defend the accusations of  dumping. Back in 1996, their response to the dumping complaint was to cull 4 million smolts and unilaterally impose feed quotas. They then went to Brussels and said ‘look how responsible we have been’. What they didn’t do was fight the case. Although they claimed that they were innocent of the dumping charges, they simply rolled over and accepted the punishment of the EU salmon agreement. If they were not guilty of dumping, then why accept the agreement.

Now in 2005, the Norwegian industry has again accepted the MIP, although this time they have stated that they have not dumped salmon. Why accept this punishment if they haven’t dumped salmon as the EUSPG maintain. One answer is that there is concern that any attempt to challenge the complaint will lead to even more Draconian measures, however if they are confident that they have not dumped salmon, then they should stand up and fight. Reports in the press relate what seems to be a half hearted attempt to argue their position. Kyst.no reports that FHL Havbruk has coupled together the services of Kontali Analyse with lawyer Trond Paulsen to repudiate the claims of dumping. However, they are not confident that they will be heard. Trond Davidsen of FHL Havbruk said that whether it will help is an open question as previous attempts have not worked before. If it doesn’t, Trond Paulsen told IntraFish that the Norwegian industry can rest assured that the period over which any punitive measures operate can be reduced as long as salmon prices remain high. Obviously, his advice would be more helpful if it were not that salmon prices are currently hovering just above the 2.81 MIP.

IntraFish also report that the Norwegian industry is showing signs of disagreement as to the best strategy. According to an EU source, the Commission had hoped that the Norwegians would accept a permanent MIP, regardless of the fact that they maintain they have not dumped salmon. The European Commission already believe that they have spent too much time on the case and want to bring the affair to an end. They have already made it clear that it doesn’t matter about the rights or the wrongs of the case as long as everyone is willing to accept a compromise. Norway has yet to learn that the only compromise is free trade.

DG Trade also need to learn. They now believe that they have spent too much time on this case and they are right. What they don’t seem to learn is that the Scottish problems are not due to dumping but rather their inability to respond to what the market wants. Dumping is simply an excuse. DG Trade might argue that their own investigations have shown that dumping has occurred but they refuse to consider the possibility that dumping margins are a natural artefact of the salmon life cycle. They do not seem to learn that salmon is not a likely candidate for dumping and the only reason that it has been elevated to become a major subject for investigation is simply because DG trade refuse to consider any other options.

DG Trade have produce an annual review of their activities in a document that is many pages thick. It list every dumping case for the year and there are plenty. Yet with the exception of canned mandarins (and as such is a manufactured product), salmonid fish are the only foodstuff included. Every other dumping case involves metals ores, steel, pharmaceuticals or chemicals. Perhaps, what DG Trade really need to learn that they are being hoodwinked by a few blinkered salmon farmers and that salmon dumping is not really a dumping case at all.

When will they all learn?

Ignorance is bliss!: The European Salmon Producers Group spokesman told IntraFish that they are not unduly alarmed that the Chileans may be stealing a march in the export markets. This follows news that Chilean exports to Denmark have increased by 1700 percent in the first eight months of this year. Exports to Russia have increased by 300% and exports of frozen salmon to Germany have now surpassed those of Norway. The EUSPG spokesman said ‘that Chilean imports do not impact in our thinking for the future’.

These few words ably sum up why the European market is now subjected to the prospect of five years of further market disruption. Simply put, the EUSPG clearly have no idea as to what is happening in the marketplace and instead, through the offices of DG Trade, they are trying to impose their perception of what the market should be on the whole of the international industry.   

The still unnamed spokesman said that Scotland produces practically little frozen salmon and therefore they are not head to head with Chilean producers of frozen salmon.

A number of years ago, William Crowe, then head of the Scottish Salmon Growers Association expressed a similar view. He said that imports of frozen salmon were of little concern because none of it was destined for the retail market. At the time he made that comment he was attending the Scottish Fish Farming Exhibition in Glasgow. Yet only a couple of kilometres away, the Somerfield store in Howard Street was selling packs of ‘fresh’ salmon which was labelled ‘Farmed in Chile’. Somerfield only stopped selling Chilean fish when their supplier was taken over by another.

In the exact same manner, here is the EUSPG spokesman saying that he is unconcerned by imports of frozen Chilean salmon because he doesn’t see it competing against Scottish fish. Perhaps, ignorance is bliss but yet again the EUSPG are unaware what is happening in the salmon market and even more significantly, in their home market. This is because at the same time he has expressed his view, thousands of British consumers are buying ‘fresh’ salmon that is labelled ‘Farmed in Chile’ from their local supermarket.

This ignorance of what’s happening in their own backyard should be sufficient grounds for the European Commission to ask that if they don’t know what is even being sold in their home market, how do they know what’s going on in the wider European market and more importantly, if they don’t know what’s happening in the European market, how can they know whether salmon are being dumped there. The real answer is that the EUSPG are living in a world of their own, blissfully ignorant of what’s happening around them.

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